EBOOK DOWNLOAD [What's the Worst That Could Happen? A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate]
To make a decision with all the mass amounts of conflicting information out there about global warming Check it out I don t think you ll be disappointed Greetings climate change skeptics and those undecided This is not another book demanding your belief Craven is good on his word that this book will help you sort the shouting match not add to it This is a truly awesome book and you should read it for the following reasons 1 It doesn t tell you who s right in the Climate Change debate Surprise 2 It explains how science works falsifying hypothesis what s peer review authority in science and how the lack of 100% certainty helps point science to better answers 3 It shows you how our biaseswe all have them muddle thinking and how to avoid them Given this is an issue attached to catastrophe it pays to know what Craven describes as the con man in our heads 4 It emphasizes we don t always have 100% certainty As you can see Do humans cause Climate Change is not what we need to focus on but what should be done given what we know now Which column would you buy Craven helps you build your own decision grid like this5 Craven helps you build your own scale for determining which information source is less muddled by bias or motivation eg how believable is a group of climate scientists talking about the climate how about economists profit motivated companies individual researchers6 Only after giving you all the necessary thinking tools Craven discusses what is human caused Climate Change and lets you form your own conclusions Isn t that great And if you re not a global warming skeptic it still pays to read this because this is great template for showing people how to wade through the deluge of BS Greg Craven is a first class teacher Go pick up the book According to the author from his introductory instructions I should not have even bothered to read this book According to him his book is for people who think 1 global warming is bunk or 2 the problem is way over blown or not as important as a lot of other problems or 3 haven t learned enough to form an opinion about it Having read at least a dozen books on the subject of global warming and recognizing the very high probability of at least severe if not devastating conseuences I do not fit into any of these categories But I read the book anyway and was glad I didFirst of all the book is not meant to persuade anyone of the science behind global warming It is simply meant to educate people about simple scientific tools and concepts that may be used by anyone to assess probabilities and risks associated with issues involving scientific matters like global warming The author goes way overboard in my opinion to demonstrate that he is being unbiased in his methods even though he is unabashedly biased in his conclusions He allows for everyone to develop their own methods and draw their own conclusions as they follow the scientific methods that he explainsThe most interesting part of the book was the explanation about the human tendency of confirmation bias This is what we all do when our minds tend to accept and even bolster the significance of data that supports our pre held beliefs and biases while ignoring or discounting data that contradict themThe book is written to be accessible and readable for everyone The author s purpose is simply to make this debate understandable and open to analysis by the average non scientific person I feel that he succeeded in that regard and that I benefited greatly from reading Make sense for themselves of the contradictory statements about global climate changeThe globe is warming or The globe is not warmingWe're the ones doing it or It's a natural cycleIt's gonna be a catastrophe or It'll be harmlessThis is the biggest threat to humankind or This is the biggest hoax in historyWatch a Vide.
I truly enjoyed this book The perspective the book gave was enlightening Helping me see how the general public views science how my bias clouds my view and ideas for how to prepare before entering a loaded topic This book has made me aware about myse Review update In my original review I downrated Craven s book because after five good chapters laying out tools and methods for rational decision making how to think Craven turned his book into a polemic on the specific topic of global warming what to think Ken Watanabe s Problem Solving 101 A Simple Book for Smart People is the book I thought I was reading in the first five chapters of Craven s book After the debate with Craven and others stating his case in the comments below this review I would now rate Craven s book three stars if allowed reviewers to change the star ratings But if you are looking for a simple and straightforward book on how to think with understandable methods tools and examples without the polemical baggage go to Watanabe s bookOriginal ReviewReg Craven a high school science teacher who is clearly passionate about his work and would probably be a fun teacher to sit under spends the first give chapters giving his readers tools decision tools for thinking about the issue of global warming as promised in the title and on the back cover marketing His tools are basically a decision table combined with a method to rank the credibility of source materials and ways to detect and prevent the reader s own internal biases and logical fallacies from influencing their decision making All good things and all uite useful thinking toolsThen under the guise of working an example on the board Craven spends the rest of the book arguing very forcefully for the proposition that global warming is the most pressing and immediate danger to humanity and most be addressed by very aggressive political and economic changes immediately along the lines of a World War II type mobilization he suggests While making these strong claims Craven continues to repeat this is ust an example with freuent marginal comments to uestion his assumptions and suggesting that these are Cannibal Encounters just his thoughts and he might be wrongThe learning tools are useful and simple enough that most readers could use the tools and the suggested method without Craven s example and reach their own conclusions In fact decision tables and the credibility tree could be used by readers to help them clarify their thinking about any troubling proposition they want toudge or major decision they need to makeHowever if Craven really felt an example was necessary to explain the method then on such a divisive issue the wise thing to do would be to provide two examples It seems clear from the example that he does give that he is doing this not as a teaching example but as a polemical argument in favor of his response and suggested actionsIn fact after I finished this book I realized that Craven was arguing for the extreme global warming position with the zeal and language of a true believer Just one example Focus on burning the number 350 parts per million the concentration of carbon in the atmosphere into the collective consciousness I suspect that 350 will go down in history as humanity s number a symbol of our collective fight for our civilization and an emblem of the challenge that finally united humanity to struggle together instead of against one another p 229 I was reminded of the language used to describe the number of the beast 666 in the 72 million YouTube viewers can't be wrong A provocative new way to look at the global warming debateBased on a series of viral videos that have garnered than 72 million views this visually appealing book gives readers be they global warming activists soccer moms or NASCAR dads a way to decide on the best course of ac.
Ook of RevelationFaith in science is a religion on par with any other religious faith and by now many if not most scientists acknowledge and embrace this faith in science by the name of humanism I have no problem with that although I believe it is faith in the wrong thing and I have no problem with Craven espousing it strongly in proto religious language What I do have a problem with is masuerading this faith under the guise of reason alone in the first half of the book then sliding in the religious argument in the second half with the annoyingly freuent asides that I could be wrong with the unstated but I m not ualifier all too obvious from the freuency and friendly facetiousness of the asides I want to buy this book for everyone I know Read it buy it pass it on Make it your next read do it now So far this reads like a RISK Management for Dummies book almost certainly what the author was aiming at The emphasis is on Global Warming or whatever the buzz phrase is this week and the language is over the top non technical the tone cringes from the thought that a reader might have than a handful of brain cells scientists are geeks and eggheads Having said all that this is not another partisan offering from one side of the debate or the other The author is trying to coach a reluctant and scientifically poorly educated public to adopt better analysing techniues when considering their attitudes and beliefs about GW no matter which side of the debate they are on He is disarmingly frank about his own stumbles in his approach to the topic and how he arrived at the point of writing this book I m interested enough to continue This book is what we green elitists would term a game changer I can be cheesier if you would like If you take the time to read this lesson in book form and listen to what Mr Craven says then your mind will be stronger for it Directly the book is not about global warming it The Chatterbugs Manual just takes up o Is it prudent to sometimes take action based on incomplete evidence In our daily lives we do it all the time We buckle our seat belts even though a crash is unlikely lock our doors to deter theft use our senses to determine whether an apple is ripe before eating it etc Given that the best science can do is to provide better and better approximations to truth is it prudent to take action to stave off global climate changeGreg Craven argues that this decision can be made based on the potential conseuences of action vs non action in the absence of a consensus on climate change and he provides a set of tools to help of course there is a large scientific consensus but the demagogues in conjunction with an uncritical populous have done a goodob sowing controversy on the issue The book also provides a primer on critical thought and a means of cutting through the shouting match that passes for reasoned debate in this country Unfortunately our brains did not evolve to handle threats of this type and as a natural conseuence the global response will prove to be too little too late The result of inaction could be bad of course it could also be even worse than anyone can imagine Good message lost in an amazingly stupid book Fantastic and easy read where you will learn something important about information overload and how to make an informed decision with the multitude of information available today It s got humor sarcasm along with cool pictures how could you not enjoy it Whether you are a warmer or a skeptic this book is about critical thinking and how. Tion by asking them to consider What's the worst that could happen And for those who decide that action is needed Craven provides a solution that is not only powerful but also happens to be stunningly easy Not ust another change your light bulb book this intriguing and provocative guide is the first to help readers.